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Working Forest Forum Content Analysis

Peter Nelson

UW College of Forest Resources/Evans School of Public Affairs

January 2005

This preliminary report is meant to provide a synthesis of the presentations and discussions that made up the Saving Washington’s Working Forest Land Base Forum.  The report findings will be utilized to guide further activities of the forum.

This report applies a content analysis technique to code raw meeting notes and presentations in order to organize and convey forum themes and concepts.  Content analysis is often used in social science research and policy analysis to study information patterns in human communication.  This type of analysis should be helpful in determining the next steps for the Working Forest Forum in terms of identifying and communicating key issues, themes and strategies for future meetings and long-term policy problem solving.  It should be noted that this document represents only one means of slicing this data, and only one analyst’s perspective.  This document should thus be considered as one of many ways to view the proceedings, and as a starting point for discussion rather than a definitive statement on reality.

The report utilizes a policy analysis framework to arrange the information provided under the content analysis.  The policy analysis framework allows us to view the Working Forest Forum as a venue to address environmental management problems and solutions.  Indeed, a stated objective of the forum is to develop innovative strategies and financing mechanisms to maintain Washington State’s “working forest” land base.  Problem identification and subsequent strategy development are initial steps in the policy analysis process.  In this sense, the Alderbrook meetings are seen as the initial steps in a policy analysis process. 

The policy analysis process has been defined as an eight step process (Bardach, 2000) (Steps in bold were undertaken, at least partially, by forum participants):

  1. Problem identification/definition
  2. Provide evidence of the problem (including identify research needs)
  3. Construct alternatives/tools
  4. Develop criteria for assessing alternatives
  5. Project outcomes
  6. Confront tradeoffs
  7. Make a decision
  8. Communicate the analysis process

The Working Forest Forum partially addressed the first four steps of the policy analysis process.  The forum focused on creating a common understanding of a policy problem by identifying key issues and further defining the complexities of the “working forest” problem (Step 1).  Evidence of the problem was provided both by presenters and throughout discussions (Step 2).  This report partially sidesteps Step 2.  On one hand, we recognize that forum participants are aware of the evidence of the problem, and thus the sessions did not “make a case” for development of policy alternatives to “save working forests”.  However, it should be noted that IF the forum participants determine to move forward with lobbying or public education efforts, providing evidence of the problem to various audiences will be of paramount importance.  On the other hand, this report considers “research needs” as evidence gathering activities.  Indeed, these research endeavors will contribute to the formulation and assessment of various policy alternatives.  Thus, Step 2 in the coding framework is entitled “research needs.”  In addition, the Working Forest Forum also began to discuss potential policy solutions and alternative strategies, with some ideas outlined in greater detail than others (Step 3).  (By no means was the generation of alternative policy solutions exhaustive.)  Lastly, the forum began to outline a set of criteria for comparing policy alternatives (Step 4).  The forum accomplished many of these functions without intentionally doing so.  Although the session was framed as a problem-solution type dialogue, the content analysis and policy analysis framework assisted in giving further structure to the proceedings.

Step 1 – Defining the Problem

The Working Forest Forum began with a premise that our collective policy problem is concerned with the viability of Washington’s “working forests.”  The problem is characterized by conversion of working forests to other uses; threats to ecosystem/public values, threats to viability of Washington’s forest industry, etc.  Most participants agreed on these first order problem statements.  The problem was further characterized/framed in a variety of ways by different participants.  Articulating these various problem frames should be of utility as the forum moves towards more comprehensive alternative solutions through the policy analysis process.  This report coded these latter problem statements into categories as follows, with particular attention given to those areas that may need greater clarity in order to move forward:

  1. Areas for clarification
  • Defining “working forests”
  • Geographic scope of problem and solution (i.e. foothill forests, entire state, or by ownership)
  1. Social Problem
  • Problem is one of “stewardship of humanity"
  • Lack of trust between players
  • Lack of collaboration/cooperation Problem is shifting public values
  • Traditional “working forest paradigm” is no longer working
  1. Economic Problem
  •   Globalization
  • Working forests must remain economically productive
  • Exportation of demand to other regions/nations
  • Lack of markets for conservation/ecosystem values and lack of compensation mechanisms 
  • Landowner need for certainty
  • Investor incentives
  1. Regulatory/Legal/Statutory Problem
  • Regulations causing unintended consequences
  • Diminished private property rights
  • Regulations diminish investment values
  • Regulatory “drift”
  • Uncompensated regulatory takings
  • Tax structure needs reform
  • Lack of certainty
  1. Information Problem
  • Lack of knowledge on “where public values are most threatened?”
  • Problem characterized by complexity (including complexity of systems)
  • Lack of data on biodiversity, carbon sequestration, other technical data gaps
  1. Infrastructure Problem
  • Transportation system
  • Skilled labor capacity
  • Research and development gaps, investments in professionals, investments in infrastructure (capital and technology)

Step 2 – Providing Evidence of the Problem – Research Needs

As mentioned above, this step is partially sidestepped in this report.  Evidence on the policy analysis process allows for 1) the assessment of the nature and extent of the problem; 2) the assessment of the features of the policy problem; and 3) the assessment other policies that have worked effectively in similar scenarios (Bardach, 2000).  This report focuses primarily on the third objective, with the idea that research and data gathering will contribute to the effectiveness of the policy analysis process.  This list is by no means complete, a more focused dialogue on research needs is probably necessary in the future.

Research Needs and Questions

  1. Conduct thorough literature review on policy topic (this was not suggested by forum participants, but is recommended in the policy analysis literature).
  2. Survey “Best Practices” on the policy topic
  • Case studies in carbon, biodiversity and water markets (with frequent mention of the CA model, for example http://www.climateregistry.org)
  • Conservation banking in CACalifornia case study, more generally, the effects/outcomes of regulatory environment on the timber industry
  • Oregon case study – Measure 37/Takings/Compensation (see http://www.oregon.gov/LCD/mesure37.shtml)
  • Tradable housing credits case in COExamine incentive/compensation “policy models” in OR and New Zealand
  • Case studies on Environmental Management Systems
  • WA Forest Commission and Agriculture Commission as examples 
  • Past WA legislation that addressed this policy issue
  1. Research in certification, labeling, purchasing standards
  2. Research into methods to measure the efficacy of policies (policy research and analysis)
  3. Long-term forecasting of timber markets; including large logs
  4. Financial repercussions of extended rotation lengths
  5. Expand our understanding of non-market values; comparative studies of non-timber revenue possibilities
  6. Long-term outcomes associated with the regulatory approach
  7. Investigate the role of adaptive management in this policy arena

Step 3 – Construct Alternatives and Tools

The bulk of the forum discussion centered on presentations and generally open-ended discussions on potential policy solutions to the primary “working forest” problem.  Policy options are not mutually exclusive; in fact, most participants seem to concur that a variety of approaches will be required to fully address a problem of this complexity.  There is a range of alternatives; some are political outreach strategies (1, 2); while others are technical policy mechanisms (3-7).  Some of the technical alternatives will need to undergo much further analysis, particularly on implementation details.  This report does not delve into those implementation details.  Many participants noted that this is not a “one size fits all” problem; policy solutions/tools need to be created/organized for the “right” problem, given that there is a gradient of “problem” areas.  This concept is also noted in Step 4.  The objective in this section is not to go into detail on any particular strategy; more detail is included in the raw notes and presentations offered by the participants.  Any of the following strategies will most likely require further research and their own individual analysis, covered in Step 4 of the policy analysis process. 

Policy alternatives have been coded into the following general categories, in order of relative discussion frequency:

  1. Coalitions and cooperation
  • Cooperation between players
  • Partnerships between industry, researchers and environmentalists
  • Collaborative discourse
  • UW / ONRC provide policy forum
  • Government sponsored task force?
  1. Public Education
  • Develop a sellable product for the public and policy makers
  • Develop diversity of “messengers” for public and policy makers
  • Develop workable “sound bites” on issue
  • The need to communicate to society at-large; communicate benefits of “working forests”; public education creates value; high visibility projects can raise awareness
  1. Adding value and providing landowner incentives
  • Managing forests for greater value: “Big logs”, old-growth salvage, red alder, big leaf maple, export logs and bioenergy
  • Certification and product labels 
  • Ecotourism 
  • Develop carbon, biodiversity, habitat enhancement, conservation banking and other public value markets
  1. Easements
  • Reform conservation easements to allow active management for revenue and “forest health”
  • Scenic value easements
  1. Financing mechanisms
  • Transferable development rights 
  • Establish and redefine private property rights
  • Community development financing
  • Tax credits  Evergreen Forest Trust model
  • EFT model using municipal bonds
  • Sales tax on wood products
  1. Regulatory and tax reform and other issues
  • Provide moratorium on new regulations for 5 years
  • Tax reform; tax relief, deferments
  • Clarify property rights
  • Provide tax relief, deferments; tax reform
  • Expedited permitting  Regulatory certainty
  • Develop Community Forest Model, quasi-governments and other venues for policy action
  1. Investments in people, capital and infrastructure (i.e. mills, roads, skills, ports)
  • Small business loans and tax breaks for investment
  • Skills training centers
  • Bringing the logging community on board

Step 4 – Develop Criteria for Assessing Alternatives

Step 3 outlined a variety of strategies for addressing the “working forests” problem.  Step 4 provides a coding of potential criteria that could be employed to assess the strategic and “outcome” value of the various alternatives.  One could imagine “ranking” each policy alternative based on these criteria.  This information was not obtained from direct questioning of participants; rather, it was gleaned from general discussions.  In a traditional policy analysis, a matrix would be utilized to compare the utility of the strategies, a step that may be conducted at a later date by forum participants.  Recall that many strategies could be undertaken in packages, thus these criteria may allow participants to “mix and match” for the optimum policy strategy.  The criteria for strategies and outcomes are as follows:

Strategies

  1. Strategies should be broad in geographic scope, not limited to sub-regions
  2. Strategies should utilize market and other non-regulatory approaches
  3. Strategies should recognize a gradient of problems and solutions –strategies should be flexible
  4. Strategies should be coalition based and collaborative
  5. Strategies should be visionary, long-term, and represent a new paradigm
  6. Strategies should be adaptive, strategic and rational.  They should be information rich and utilize a systems approach

Outcomes

  1. Outcomes should be fair and efficient in terms of an economic and/or planning system
  2. Outcomes should be stable in legal terms; and provide certainty
  3. Outcomes should allow for the production of traditional  economic outputs (timber production)
  4. Outcomes should be viable in terms of economy, ecology and society
  5. Outcomes must be politically viable, accepted by the public and policy makers, provide social recognition and social buy-in
  6. All benefits and costs (economic and ecological) should be widely distributed

Conclusion

This preliminary report is designed to provide a rational framework for understanding and conveying information from the proceedings of the Working Forests Forum.  The report is not meant to provide an exhaustive summary of the policy mechanisms discussed by participants.  Indeed, that information and analysis is best left to the respective expert participants.  Rather, the report is designed to help frame the policy issue in a cogent manner that can assist the process of dialogue and conversation as forum participants move forward towards a strategic resolution of the issue.  Further steps in the policy analysis process, if the group chooses to undertake them, could lead to a comprehensive strategic plan.  Hopefully, this preliminary report will lead to more productive discussions, more rational strategies, and more favorable policy outcomes.

University of Washington College of Forest Resources For more information, please contact Brian Boyle